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2012 Grammy Guesses: Best New Artist

Brett Warner
MusicOlogy

The 54th annual Grammy Awards air Sunday, February 12 at 8pm EST on CBS.

It never fails... each year, you think long and hard about your list of Grammy predictions, only to tune in Sunday to discover that, yeah, whoops, you weren't even close. Why? Because you and I can think rationally about music and the National Association of Recording Arts and Sciences cannot. (Imagine I'm saying all this like Colonel Landa in Inglourious Basterds.) So, in the spirit of attempting to think like the NARAS, I've divided this year's obligatory Grammy Prediction cycle into two separate categories—who WILL win, and who SHOULD win.

(Don't like any of the nominees? Of course you don't. It's why you should vote now in our first-annual ANTI-GRAMMY Awards.)


Today's Category:

Best New Artist


The Nominees:

The Band Perry
Bon Iver
J. Cole
Nicki Minaj
Skrillex


Will Win:

Bon Iver. Nicki Minaj may be the popular favorite, but remember that Esperanza Spalding came out of nowhere last year to clobber both Drake and Justin Bieber in this category. The Grammy voters tend to credit artistic accomplishment over buzz/influence/popularity (at least in this category), so while he hardly feels like a "new" artist, Justin Vernon surely has this category in the proverbial bag.


Should Win:

J. Cole. Let's face it, Bon Iver is nominated for more awards than Bon Iver really deserved... that leaves J. Cole and Skrillex as the closest thing to "underground" on this list and, unlike the more-popular-than-he-should-be dubstep poster boy, Cole could use the boost in record sales that come with a Best New Artist nod. (Sorry Band Perry, but the last thing this world needs is more radio-friendly country pop.)

 

Which act do you think should/will win the Grammy for Best New Artist? Hit up our comments section below.

Want to connect with fellow Music Ologists? Join the discussion over on My.Ology.

Follow Brett Warner on Twitter: @Erasurehead


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