What does Rick Scott have to do, people? He's already kicked voter registration groups out of the state, he's removed people-with-brown-skinned-sounding-last-names foreigners from the voter rolls, and refused to implement current provisions of Obamacare that would discount brand name drugs under Medicare and ease the health care costs for lower class families.
And yet still Florida voters have swung over to Obama. A new Quinnipiac poll finds Obama with a four point lead over Romney, 46-42, outside the 2.4% margin of error. That's not much of a lead, until you consider the fact that Romney was up by six points one month ago, 47-41. A ten point swing in one month is quite a movement given that recent economic news was supposed to have been bad for Obama.
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The biggest shift was among independent voters, who swung from Romney to Obama by 17 points. On May 23, Romney led among independents by eight points, 44-36; today, Obama leads them 46-37.
Romney had been up enough that PoliticOlogy ceded the state and its 29 electoral votes to the candidate. To win in November, Romney needs Florida, plus at least one other major swing state like Ohio or, if he's really lucky, Pennsylvania, in addition to a smattering of smaller swing states like Virginia and North Carolina. But without Florida, all this is moot.Obama's Gonna Lose Florida, Get Over It
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If you're Romney, you're silver lining in this poll is the uncertainty rating. Romney's Favorability/Unfavorability is at 39/42, a lower unfavorable than other polls, which have him in the high 50s. But 16% of respondents are still uncertain about him, which means those voters are still ostensibly up for grabs. Romney's going to have the Republican National Convention and all the smooch time in the world with Marco Rubio to make a favorable impression on that 16%, and he's going to have to make use of it.
Meanwhile, as in yesterday's wacky Bloomberg poll, voters seem confused as to whether Romney is the man for the economy. Good luck getting something out of this:
While Florida voters say 48 - 44 percent that Romney would do a better job on the economy, they split 45 - 45 percent on who would create more jobs and say 49 - 44 percent that Obama would do more "to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans."
So Romney would do better on the economy, but Obama might create more jobs and be better for the middle class. Probably just statistical noise, but poll after poll is showing that this country is genuinely confused as to whether Romney's business experience makes him primed to lead on the economy.
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Follow on Ology: Evan McMurry | PoliticOlogy
Follow on Twitter: @evanmcmurry | @OlogyPolitics
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